{"id":167,"date":"2026-05-25T07:37:06","date_gmt":"2026-05-25T07:37:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=167"},"modified":"2026-05-25T07:37:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-25T07:37:06","slug":"tokyo-stocks-hit-record-oil-and-dollar-ease-on-middle-east-peace-hopes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=167","title":{"rendered":"Tokyo stocks hit record, oil and dollar ease on Middle East peace hopes"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li>Summary<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>SINGAPORE, May 25 (Reuters) &#8211; Stocks surged on Monday while the U.S. dollar and oil prices slid \u200bas the prospect of a deal to end the Iran war buoyed risk appetite, although a lack of clarity over when the Strait of Hormuz would \u200copen kept enthusiasm in check.<\/div>\n<div>The nearly three-month-long conflict in the Middle East has driven energy prices sharply higher and reshaped the global rates outlook, as inflation concerns intensify following Tehran&#8217;s effective shutdown of the key strait.<\/div>\n<div>U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday he had told his representatives not to rush into any deal with Iran, as his administration played down hopes of an imminent breakthrough.<\/div>\n<div>Just a day \u200bearlier, Trump said Washington and Iran had &#8220;largely negotiated&#8221; a memorandum of understanding on a deal that would reopen the waterway, which carried one-fifth of global oil \u200band liquefied natural gas shipments before the war.<\/div>\n<div>Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said markets have become less focused on \u2060the timing of a resolution and instead been keeping an eye on the tone of the headlines.<\/div>\n<div>&#8220;The tone has been consistently towards some sort of resolution&#8230; We&#8217;ve become \u200bvery patient for a resolution deadline.&#8221;<\/div>\n<div>European futures rose 1%, pointing to a strong open, while Nasdaq futures were 1.4% higher and S&amp;P futures were up 1%. Liquidity is likely \u200bto be thin as markets in the U.S. and UK are closed on Monday.<\/div>\n<h2>OIL PRICE SETS THE TONE FOR MARKETS<\/h2>\n<div>For much of the year, oil prices have steered broader markets as investors sift through often conflicting signals from Washington and Tehran, with both sides locked in negotiations since a fragile ceasefire took hold in April.<\/div>\n<div>On Monday, oil prices hit two-week lows to kickstart the week with Brent \u200bcrude futures down over about 6% to $97.75 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate was at $90.87 a barrel, also down nearly 6%.<\/div>\n<div>Analysts expect oil prices to remain elevated even \u200bif there is a resolution in the near term, and they are unlikely to return to levels before the war as it will take time to remedy supply chain disruption from the \u200cconflict.<\/div>\n<div>Last \u2060week Barclays maintained its 2026 average Brent crude oil price forecast at $100, though it said risks are skewing higher.<\/div>\n<div>The euro was up 0.33% at $1.1646, while the Japanese yen firmed to 158.85 per U.S. dollar as the safe-haven dollar gave up some of its recent gains. [FRX\/]<\/div>\n<div>In Asia, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei (.N225)<svg><\/svg><span>, opens new tab<\/span> jumped 3% to roar past the 65,000 level for the first time and Taiwan stocks (.TWII)<svg><\/svg><span>, opens new tab<\/span> also jumped to a record high. MSCI&#8217;s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS)<svg><\/svg><span>, opens new tab<\/span> rose 1%.<\/div>\n<div>Global stocks have mostly shrugged off war worries and instead have focused on all \u200bthings AI and a strong earnings season, \u200bwhich has led to equities hitting \u2060record highs through the year.<\/div>\n<h2>RATE EXPECTATIONS RESET<\/h2>\n<div>The increase in energy prices since the conflict began and the risk that prolonged disruptions will keep them high has prompted traders to bet on rate hikes across both developed and emerging markets.<\/div>\n<div>Markets are now fully pricing in a \u200b25-basis-point hike from the U.S. Federal Reserve in January 2027, a sharp shift from expectations before hostilities erupted in late February, \u200bwhen two rate cuts \u2060this year were anticipated.<\/div>\n<div>The 30-year Treasury bond&#8217;s yield , which is seen as a barometer of geopolitical and fiscal risk, briefly touched its highest level since July 2007 last week but has pulled back from that milestone. There was no cash trading on Monday, but 30-year futures were up a full point.<\/div>\n<div>Data on Friday showed U.S. consumer sentiment fell to a record low in \u2060May as \u200bsurging gasoline prices linked to the Iran war intensified affordability concerns just as Kevin Warsh was sworn in \u200bas chair of the Fed.<\/div>\n<div>Mark Dowding, CIO for Fixed Income at RBC BlueBay Asset Management, said Warsh was likely to look past near-term elevated price data, but warned that the risk of a rate hike will \u200bcontinue to build as long as inflation remains on an upward trajectory.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=165\">Energy infrastructure damaged in missile attack on Russia\u2019s Belgorod region, local authorities say<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=163\">Pakistan Shi\u2019ites deported from UAE return to lost jobs, frozen savings<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=160\">Rubio says US will find \u2018another way\u2019 if Iran talks fail<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stocks surged on Monday while the U.S. dollar and oil prices slid \u200bas the prospect of a deal to end the Iran war buoyed risk appetite, although a lack of clarity over when the Strait of Hormuz would \u200copen kept enthusiasm in check.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":166,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-167","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-stocks"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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