{"id":20,"date":"2026-05-23T22:37:38","date_gmt":"2026-05-23T22:37:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=20"},"modified":"2026-05-23T22:37:38","modified_gmt":"2026-05-23T22:37:38","slug":"three-months-in-is-trump-losing-the-iran-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=20","title":{"rendered":"Three months in, is Trump losing the Iran war?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li>Summary<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>WASHINGTON, May 23 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. President Donald Trump may have won just about every battle against Iran, but three months after attacking the Islamic Republic he now faces a bigger question: Is he losing the war?<\/div>\n<div>With Iran\u2019s grip on the Strait of Hormuz, its resistance to nuclear concessions and its theocratic government largely intact, doubts are growing that Trump can translate the U.S. military\u2019s tactical successes into an outcome he can frame convincingly as a geopolitical \u200bwin.<\/div>\n<div>His repeated claims of complete victory ring hollow, some analysts say, as the two sides teeter between uncertain diplomacy and his on-again-off-again threats to resume strikes, which would be sure to draw Iranian retaliation across the region.<\/div>\n<div>Trump is now at risk of seeing the U.S. \u200cand its Gulf Arab allies emerge from the conflict worse off while Iran, though battered militarily and economically, could end up with greater leverage, having shown it can throttle one-fifth of the world\u2019s oil and gas supplies.<\/div>\n<div>The crisis is not yet over, and some experts leave open the possibility Trump might still find a face-saving way out if negotiations break in his favor.<\/div>\n<div>But others predict a grim post-war outlook for Trump.<\/div>\n<div>\u201cWe\u2019re three months in, and it\u2019s looking like a war that was designed to be a short-term romp for Trump is turning into a long-term strategic failure,\u201d said Aaron David Miller, a former Middle East negotiator for Republican and Democratic administrations.<\/div>\n<div>For Trump, that matters, especially given his famous sensitivity to being perceived as a loser, an insult he \u200bhas often lobbed at opponents. In the Iran crisis, he finds himself commander-in-chief of the world\u2019s mightiest military pitted against a second-tier power seemingly convinced it has the upper hand.<\/div>\n<div>And this predicament could make Trump, who has yet to define a clear endgame, more likely to resist any compromise \u200bthat looks like a retreat from his maximalist positions or a repetition of the 2015 Obama-era nuclear deal with Iran that he scrapped in his first term, analysts say.<\/div>\n<div>White House spokeswoman Olivia Wales said the U.S. has \u201cmet or surpassed all \u2060of our military objectives in &#8216;Operation Epic Fury&#8217;.\u201d<\/div>\n<div>\u201cPresident Trump holds all the cards and wisely keeps all options on the table,\u201d she added.<\/div>\n<h2>PRESSURE AND FRUSTRATION<\/h2>\n<div>Trump campaigned for a second term promising no unnecessary military interventions but has brought the U.S. into an entanglement that could do lasting damage to his foreign policy record and credibility \u200babroad.<\/div>\n<div>The continuing standoff comes as he faces domestic pressure over high U.S. gasoline prices and low approval ratings after he embarked on the unpopular war ahead of November\u2019s midterm elections. His Republican Party is struggling to maintain control of Congress.<\/div>\n<div>As a result, more than six weeks into a ceasefire, some analysts believe Trump faces a \u200bstark choice: to accept a potentially flawed deal as an off-ramp or escalate militarily and risk an even longer crisis. Among his options if diplomacy collapses, they say, would be to launch a round of sharp but limited strikes, frame it as a final victory and move on.<\/div>\n<div>Another possibility, analysts say, is that Trump could attempt to shift focus to Cuba, as he has suggested, in hopes of changing the subject and trying to score a potentially easier win.<\/div>\n<div>If so, he might end up misjudging the challenges posed by Havana, much as some Trump aides privately acknowledge that he mistakenly thought the Iran operation would resemble the January 3 raid that captured Venezuela&#8217;s president and led to his replacement.<\/div>\n<div>Even so, Trump is not without his defenders.<\/div>\n<div>Alexander \u200bGray, a former senior adviser in Trump\u2019s first term and now chief executive officer of the American Global Strategies consultancy, rejected the notion that the president&#8217;s Iran campaign was on the ropes.<\/div>\n<div>He said that the heavy blow to Iranian military capabilities was in itself a &#8220;strategic success,&#8221; that the war had drawn Gulf states closer \u200bto the U.S. and away from China, and that the fate of Iran\u2019s nuclear program was still to be determined.<\/div>\n<div>There are signs, however, of Trump&#8217;s frustration with his inability to control the narrative. He has torn into his critics and accused the news media of \u201ctreason.\u201d<\/div>\n<div>The conflict has lasted twice the maximum six-week timeframe that Trump laid out when he joined \u200cwith Israel in \u2060starting the war on February 28. Since then, though his MAGA political base has stood by him on the war, cracks have appeared in his once almost unanimous backing from Republican lawmakers.<\/div>\n<div>At the outset, waves of airstrikes quickly degraded Iran\u2019s ballistic missile stockpile, sank much of its navy and killed many top leaders.<\/div>\n<div>But Tehran responded by blocking the strait, which sent energy prices soaring, and attacking Israel and Gulf neighbors. Trump then ordered a blockade of Iran\u2019s ports but that has also failed to bend Tehran to his will.<\/div>\n<div>Iran&#8217;s leaders have matched Trump\u2019s triumphalist claims with their own propaganda depicting his campaign as a \u201ccrushing defeat,&#8221; though it is clear that Iranian officials have overstated their own military prowess.<\/div>\n<h2>SHIFTING GOALS STILL UNACHIEVED<\/h2>\n<div>Trump had said his objectives in going to war were to close off Iran\u2019s path to a nuclear weapon, end its ability to threaten the region and U.S. interests and make it easier for Iranians to overthrow their rulers.<\/div>\n<div>There is no sign that his often-shifting goals have been \u200bachieved, and many analysts say it is unlikely that they will be.<\/div>\n<div>Jonathan Panikoff, a \u200bformer deputy national intelligence officer for the Middle East, said that \u2060while Iran has taken devastating hits, its rulers consider it a success simply to have survived the U.S. assault and learned how much control they can exert over Gulf shipping.<\/div>\n<div>\u201cWhat they discovered is they can exercise that leverage and with few consequences for them,&#8221; said Panikoff, now at the Atlantic Council think tank, adding that Iran appeared confident it could tolerate more economic pain than Trump and outlast him.<\/div>\n<div>Trump\u2019s main stated war aim \u2013 Iran\u2019s denuclearization \u2013 also remains unfulfilled, and Tehran has shown little \u200bwillingness to significantly rein in its program.<\/div>\n<div>A stockpile of highly enriched uranium is believed to remain buried following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes last June and could be recovered and further processed to bomb grade. Iran says it wants \u200bthe U.S. to recognize its right to enrich \u2060uranium for what it says are peaceful purposes.<\/div>\n<div>Further complicating matters, Iran&#8217;s supreme leader has issued a directive that the country&#8217;s near-weapons-grade uranium cannot be sent abroad, two senior Iranian officials told Reuters.<\/div>\n<div>Some analysts have suggested that the war could make Iran more, not less, likely to ramp up efforts to develop a nuclear weapon to shield itself like nuclear-armed North Korea.<\/div>\n<div>Another of Trump\u2019s declared goals \u2013 forcing Iran to halt support for armed proxy groups &#8211; also remains unmet.<\/div>\n<div>Adding to Trump\u2019s challenges, he is now dealing with new Iranian leaders considered even more hardline than their slain predecessors. Post-war, they are widely expected still to have enough remaining missiles and drones to pose a continued danger to their neighbors.<\/div>\n<div>He is \u2060also facing fallout with \u200bfurther erosion of relations with traditional European allies, which have mostly refused his calls for assistance in a war they were not consulted about.<\/div>\n<div>China and Russia, meanwhile, have drawn lessons about the \u200bU.S. military\u2019s shortcomings against asymmetric Iranian tactics and how some of its weapons supplies have become depleted, analysts said.<\/div>\n<div>Robert Kagan, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution think tank, has argued that the outcome will be even more of a decisive setback to U.S. standing than its humiliating withdrawals from much longer, bloodier conflicts in Vietnam and Afghanistan because those countries \u201cwere far from the main theaters of \u200bglobal competition.\u201d<\/div>\n<div>\u201cThere will be no return to the status quo ante, no ultimate American triumph that will undo or overcome the harm done,\u201d he wrote in a recent commentary entitled \u201cCheckmate in Iran\u201d on the Atlantic magazine\u2019s website.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=18\">Trump says framework of Iran deal \u2018largely negotiated,\u2019 with provision to reopen strait<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=13\">Exclusive: Supreme Leader says enriched uranium must stay in Iran, Iranian sources say<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=11\">Inside the unraveling of U.S. diplomacy under Trump<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump&#8217;s repeated claims of victory ring hollow as the two sides teeter between uncertain diplomacy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":19,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4],"class_list":["post-20","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-asia-pacific"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Three months in, is Trump losing the Iran war? 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