{"id":2068,"date":"2026-06-15T20:38:39","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T20:38:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=2068"},"modified":"2026-06-15T20:38:39","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T20:38:39","slug":"trumps-iran-accord-offers-exit-from-war-and-fresh-political-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=2068","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s Iran accord offers exit from war \u2014 and fresh political risks"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><div><div><ul><li>Summary<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><\/div><\/div><div>WASHINGTON, June 15 (Reuters) &#8211; The Trump administration and Iran&#8217;s leadership agreed on Sunday to terms to end their war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a development that has delivered significant relief to global markets.<\/div><div>But while the accord is an opportunity for U.S. President Donald Trump to exit a \u200bconflict that has proven consistently unpopular with the American public, it also exposes him to criticism from within his party, skepticism from allies and questions over whether the deal will hold.<\/div><h2>THE KNIVES COME OUT AMONG REPUBLICANS<\/h2><div>By \u200cMonday, some Iran &#8220;hawks&#8221; within the Republican Party were trashing the agreement, describing it as a tactical catastrophe. Some were calling on the administration to release the formal text of the accord, which was still under wraps as of the afternoon.<\/div><div>&#8220;Trump has surrendered to Iran,&#8221; conservative influencer Erick Erickson wrote on X.<\/div><div>U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally who advocated for the war, said in a Sunday X post he was &#8220;somewhat concerned&#8221; that Iran&#8217;s description of the preliminary agreement was different from the White House&#8217;s description.<\/div><div>Vice President JD Vance, one of the president&#8217;s least hawkish aides, pushed back against early criticisms. In an interview with ABC on \u200bMonday, he played down the possibility that Iran will immediately receive some of its frozen assets, saying it would only receive those funds if Tehran reaches certain benchmarks related to its nuclear program.<\/div><div>While Republicans have navigated deep splits between isolationists \u200band interventionists for years, another flare-up before the November midterm elections when Republicans will try to defend narrow majorities in the House of Representatives and Senate could create an image of a \u2060party in disarray.<\/div><h2>FOR AMERICAN CONSUMERS, IT MIGHT BE TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE<\/h2><div>Gas prices are expected to fall but will remain above pre-war levels for some time, analysts say, meaning voters are still likely to face pain at the pump as the elections approach.<\/div><div>The strait, \u200bthrough which about 20% of the world&#8217;s oil flows, is not scheduled to fully open until Friday. Even then, it will take weeks or even months for oil flows to return to normal levels, with supply further constrained as Gulf nations ramp up production and repair \u200bdamaged infrastructure.<\/div><div>&#8220;Full pre-conflict traffic volume is realistically a 2027 story,&#8221; said David Jorbenaze, global oil market leader at ICIS, a market intelligence provider.<\/div><div>That lag could blunt any political benefit for Trump and Republicans, particularly as voters remain focused on cost-of-living pressures. As of early June, some 70% of Americans disapproved of how Trump was handling those concerns.<\/div><h2>COMPARISONS WITH OBAMA&#8217;S DEAL ARE INEVITABLE<\/h2><div>One of Trump&#8217;s most oft-stated positions with respect to Iran is that the U.S.&#8217; last deal with the Islamic Republic, known as the JCPOA, was a disaster.<\/div><div>Trump has frequently noted with derision that the administration of Democratic President Barack Obama sent \u200bpallets of cash to Tehran, a move that was intended to settle a long-running financial dispute, while facilitating the accord.<\/div><div>Now that Trump is negotiating a nuclear deal, he risks opening himself up to Democratic attacks if a final deal is not clearly better than the \u200bJCPOA.<\/div><div>With details of the current agreement unclear, direct comparison is difficult. But Trump has been privately concerned about making sure his deal is seen as better than Obama&#8217;s, advisers have said.<\/div><div>A key concern among skeptical conservatives is whether &#8211; and to what extent &#8211; the U.S. will allow Iran access \u200cto its frozen \u2060assets.<\/div><h2>IT ISN&#8217;T OVER UNTIL IT&#8217;S OVER<\/h2><div>Another significant risk: The fighting could flare again, causing energy prices to shoot back up just as voters turn their attention to the midterms.<\/div><div>Israeli leaders are privately fuming, seeing the initial agreement as a form of capitulation right when Israel and Washington had Tehran on the ropes. Some hardliners in Tehran are also unhappy, believing leaders there should have held out longer.<\/div><div>On Sunday, Israel bombed southern Lebanon, a move that upset Trump and appeared to delay the agreement, if only by a few hours. On Monday, Israel killed one person in another strike in Lebanon, illustrating that the conflict remains active.<\/div><h2>STRAINED ALLIANCES<\/h2><div>The war &#8211; and its resolution &#8211; have tested Washington&#8217;s alliances in various ways.<\/div><div>Israeli officials will struggle to sell the deal to their own voters, said Jonathan Rynhold, a political scientist at Bar-Ilan \u200bUniversity, near Tel Aviv. He added that the best-case political scenario \u200bfor the Israeli government is that talks with Iran quickly \u2060collapse and conflict resumes.<\/div><div>Relations between Trump and European leaders have also fallen to a new low, with the president criticising NATO countries for failing to join the U.S.-Israeli war effort. Trump is currently in France for the annual G7 summit, where those tensions could come to the fore.<\/div><div>Leaders in Muscat were shocked earlier this month when Trump threatened to bomb Oman for allegedly scheming to set up a toll \u200bsystem with Iran in the Strait of Hormuz.<\/div><div>In the Gulf, several allies &#8211; having been hit by Iranian drone and missile strikes &#8211; are now more aware than ever of the downsides of hosting \u200bU.S. security architecture in the region.<\/div><div>While \u2060it is difficult to draw firm conclusions about the long-term geopolitical effects of the conflict, the U.S. has spent significant diplomatic and political capital in recent months and, in some cases, upset longtime allies.<\/div><h2>THE DEAL COULD FALL APART<\/h2><div>The interim deal essentially pushed the most difficult issues down the road. Notably, as of Monday, there was no clarity as to what will happen with Iran&#8217;s nuclear program, and both sides have different versions regarding what has been agreed to so far.<\/div><div>Tehran and Washington now have 60 days to reach a more comprehensive deal, a monumental task given \u2060that the two \u200bcountries have been at loggerheads over Tehran&#8217;s nuclear program for decades.<\/div><div>Trump has said he may resume attacks if a deal is not reached, a move that would \u200balmost certainly upset voters, who never liked the war in the first place, according to public opinion surveys. Still, if Trump defies the odds and seals a substantive agreement with Iran, it could hand Republicans a political win.<\/div><div>The Iranians&#8217; &#8220;record of keeping their word is abysmal, so one of the questions is when does this thing \u200bblow up,&#8221; said Charlie Gerow, a Pennsylvania-based Republican strategist.<\/div><div>&#8220;If Trump, through other means, is able to keep it together, I think it&#8217;s going to be very positive for him and his administration.&#8221;<\/div><div><address><div><div><noscript>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"120\" height=\"120\" alt=\"Gram Slattery\" class=\"wp-image-10\" src=\"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/99ccaa348ca497731907b2f304d7bc45.avif\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/noscript><\/div><div>Gram Slattery<\/div><\/div><div><ul><li><span><div><svg><title>Email<\/title><\/svg><\/div><\/span><\/li><li><span><div><svg><title>X<\/title><\/svg><\/div><\/span><\/li><li><span><div><svg><title>Instagram<\/title><\/svg><\/div><\/span><\/li><li><span><div><svg><title>Linkedin<\/title><\/svg><\/div><\/span><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/address><\/div><\/div><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=2066\">Trump\u2019s approval ticks up to 36% as price angst eases, Reuters\/Ipsos poll finds<\/a><\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=2064\">Nvidia to raise $20 billion, source says, in first corporate bond sale in five years<\/a><\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/reliablemovingcrews.com\/?p=2062\">Sweden passes \u2018good behaviour\u2019 law to kick out misbehaving immigrants<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Trump administration and Iran&#8217;s leadership agreed on Sunday to terms to end their war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a development that has delivered significant relief to global markets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2067,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-2068","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-world"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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