While U.S. President Donald Trump has recently hailed the resumption of oil flows from Gulf allies, Iran, too, appears to be gearing up to resume exports and trading.
The world oil market will recover gradually from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz before tipping into a significant surplus in 2027, the International Energy Agency said in its monthly oil market report on Wednesday.
U.S. gasoline prices have fallen more than 20% since their Iran-war peak in April, with the latest declines encouraged by the announcement of a deal to end hostilities, and they could slide further if a pattern forming on the charts comes to fruition.
Oil prices fell about 4% on Tuesday to fresh three-month lows as markets weighed prospects for a resumption of supplies through the Strait of Hormuz alongside weaker physical demand and scant details on a preliminary deal to end the Iran war.
Tokyo auto shops and Detroit car dealerships have been running short of motor oil, paint and other products for months since the Middle East conflict snarled global supply chains.
Investors are watching cautiously how quickly Middle Eastern producers can resume oil production and exports following damage from the war and whether more ships will enter the region.
Oil prices fell more than 3% on Friday to their lowest levels in nearly two months as U.S. and Iranian officials said they were close to an agreement to halt their war in the Middle East.
Roughly 7 million barrels a day of oil are getting out of the Persian Gulf with U.S. military help, Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Friday at an event in Houston.
Three months into the Iran war, the oil market is coming to grips with an unexpected new reality: China, the world’s largest importer, needs much less fuel than previously thought.
Oil prices jumped on Thursday as Tehran declared the critical energy chokepoint, the Strait of Hormuz, closed after the U.S. launched additional strikes against Iran and as President Donald Trump vowed even more attacks if no peace deal is secured.